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System Dynamics in Financial Regulation

Another nail to the coffin There is much hustle in Brussels as the EU market commissioner proposes steps to curb swap trading. The German chancellor presses for tighter EU regulations on hedge funds. In the UK, we are told, regulators seek tools to “burst dangerous asset bubbles before they are built”. Four banks, including JPMorgan Chase my employer, face trial over sale of derivative to Milan municipality, allegations that echo the role investment banks had in fueling Greek debt. It’s interesting that in the Greek and Italian stories the banks are cast as villains and public sector as a defenseless simpleton. But what is really amazing is that all these stories are reported in just one Financial Times edition. Things are moving at a dizzying pace. Financial policy is going through an overhaul. Aiming at the wrong target Meanwhile in the US, where the villains are the same but the simpletons are the homeowners, there is talk of a new regulatory body, the Consumer Financial Prote...

The Hunt for a Thesis

The thesis is one, of several reasons, that made me choose the System Design and Management program and not an MBA program. I have been looking forward to it with much anticipation. Now that I have started the thesis seminar, I quickly found out what’s the hardest thing about starting a thesis. It’s not finding a subject. Ideas come easily, every week I think of a new idea that gets me hipped. It’s not finding an advisor. There are plenty of experienced professors willing to advice. Unless the research subject is theoretical or not case-specific, which is not my desired direction, the hardest thing is connecting to a company that is willing to share data for research. Sponsored students are lucky (not just because of money) they have an established relationship with a supportive company. No worries, with patience and persistence even hard things reach a successful conclusion.

SDM from up on the bridge

I am taking the first spring semester as a long distance student in MIT's System Design and Managment (SDM) program. The long distance option, which I am grateful for, poses some challenges. A month into the semester, I am still trying to improve the interaction with the classroom, faculty and fellow students and maintain a balance between school and work. Setting up a work station I am using my home office (/living room /dining room/ guest sofa) from which I connect to the ‘bridge’. I find it useful to work with two screens. One displays the class, the mike controls and my video (I want to see how I appear to people looking at me from the classroom). The other displays the presentation slides and notebook (OneNote). The webcam is positioned above the main screen and when I look at the other screen, I am not facing the webcam. Class participation The video and sound quality are good. Material is always available before hand on the web. So keeping up with the studies is eas...

So what is this blog about?

This blog is about management, technology and finance. And when the muses strike about art. Most of what I will write about would not be completely original, rather it would be contemplation about and reviews of publications, books and articles. After all between a job, studies, family and other activities who has the time to come up with original thoughts - only the very lucky ones: philosophers, writers and columnist. As an MIT student of System Design and Management (SDM), I also hope to write some insights about the program. I need some perspective in order to organize my thoughts and so it will probably take a few months. Another aspect of being a business (& eng) student is that I find myself reading case studies instead of the things I would normally read. Case studies will probably not be much of an inspiration, I hope they will at least be educating. I also hope that the change in my reading habits would not “dry” up my blogs.

Credit Default Swaps

Until reading James Rickards ' FT article (need to be a registered FT user to view) about the financial crises in Greece I had a feeling there is something fundamentally wrong with CDS trade, but I didn't understand exactly what. Other columnists say that derivative trading increased risk because: 1. they gave institutes the false sense of security in risk handling - relaying pseudo science mathematical models, as if they were the absolute truth. 2. They increased interconnection between financial institutes strengthening the domino effect 3. They made the investments more complex, harder to understand and thus less transparent. While all the above-mentioned reasons are true Rickards introduces a simpler flaw with CDS. A regular insurance has a insurable interest . An insurance company giving a person life insurance has an interest in keeping the person alive since that way they will not have to pay the insurance. CDS traders, on the other hand, have an interest to exa...